Facts on the ground in the Middle East are changing so rapidly at the moment that it's hard to make an assessment that will not need to change as soon as a few hours later.
Nevertheless, the thrust of my latest article on where the Iran War will leave the U.S. in its relationship with the rest of the world is still relevant. I don't expect any twist or turn of the war over the rest of its course will change
that.
President Trump has bought himself some time with a two-week ceasefire, brokered by Pakistan, based upon his statements that the "new" regime in Iran is more reasonable, that the Iranians have agreed to most of the U.S.'s 15-point plaln to end the war, and that the 10-point plan offered by the Iranians is "workable."
All three of these assertions are
patently false. The supposedly new regime in Iran is Ayatollah Khameni's son, who is far more hardline than his father was, with the additional motivation of his father having been killed by the U.S./Israeli military attacks.
As far as the two plans, the U.S. 15-point plan and the Iranian 10-point plan, are concerned, they couldn't be farther apart. Iran's 10-point plan is virtually a line-by-line rejection of the U.S. plan and its
10 points for the most part demand precisely the opposite of what the U.S. is demanding.
That means one of two things: either the war will resume on or around April 21, and Iran will continue winning by the only measurement that matters, or the U.S. will agree to Iran's demands, which will represent a resounding victory for Iran.
I compare the two plans point by
point on today's episode of Tom Mullen Talks Freedom.